Monday 30/12/2013, 16:54

I'll do a bit of preliminary anlysis on the cost-effectiveness of the different .

First, let's split the New Blood & Mega New Blood from the other packs. They have different appoaches anyhow.

NB = 3 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 20 creds

2xNB = 6 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 40 creds

MNB = 7 (new) cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

So, MNB > NB. (">" means "better than")

Now let's compare Elite vs Ultimate vs Titanium.

EL = 7 cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

UL = 12 cards inc. 3 rare min. , for 90 creds

TI = 30 cards inc. 6 rare min. , for 180 creds

Based on what I've seen so far, I'm making the following ASSUMPTION on how the cards in a pack are distributed: Every card that's not guaranteed to be rare, has a big chance Z to be Common, a small chance Y to be Uncommon and a very small chance X to be Rare, with X+Y+Z = 1

My GUESS is this: Z = 0.60 Y = 0.35 X = 0.05

I'm also assuming that EL/UL/TI all have the same chance distributions!!

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:01

So based on those assumptions:

If you're going for Rares, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with X being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Rare):

EL: (1 + 6*X)/40 = 0.025 + 0.15*X =~= 0.0325

UL: (3 + 9*X)/90 = 0.033 + 0.10*X =~= 0.03833

TI: (6 + 24*X)/180 = 0.033 + 0.133*X =~= 0.04

If you're going for Uncommons, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with Y being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Uncommon):

EL: (6*Y)/40 = 0.15*Y =~= 0.045

UL: (9*Y)/90 = 0.10*Y =~= 0.03

TI: (24*Y)180 = 0.133*Y =~= 0.04

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:01

I don't understand most of this , but i think titanium is the best among these 3 , am i right ?

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:04

I personally believe it is more likely for, X = 0.10

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:04

Well that still depends on what clans you pick and what you are after. So you're right and wrong at the same time.

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:06

Elite = 7 cards / 1 rare for 40 credits

Ultimate = 12 cards / 3 rare for 90 credits

Titanium = 30 cards / 6 rare for 180 credits

With 360 credits you have:

Elite = 63 cards with 9 rare

Ultimate = 48 cards with 12 rare

Titanium = 60 cards with 12 rare

Titanium is obvious the best. I think Ultimate is the worst of them

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:10

That was an impressively quick analysis. Could be useful too

So does this mean if you're after uncommons elite are the best?

Monday 30/12/2013, 17:21

Conclusion: Titanium > Ultimate.

For Uncommons, Elite is just a bit better than Titanium. 12.5% more Uncommons to be exact.

For Rares, Titanium is better than Elite. Assuming X is small enough.