ALL THESE NEW PACKS, analysis

Monday 30/12/2013, 16:54

Tranquil_Suit - Titan

Urban Rivals | Free Online Manga Trading Card Game | TCG | MMO

29 messages

I'll do a bit of preliminary anlysis on the cost-effectiveness of the different .

First, let's split the New Blood & Mega New Blood from the other packs. They have different appoaches anyhow.

NB = 3 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 20 creds

2xNB = 6 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 40 creds

MNB = 7 (new) cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

So, MNB > NB. (">" means "better than"

Now let's compare Elite vs Ultimate vs Titanium.

EL = 7 cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

UL = 12 cards inc. 3 rare min. , for 90 creds

TI = 30 cards inc. 6 rare min. , for 180 creds

Based on what I've seen so far, I'm making the following ASSUMPTION on how the cards in a pack are distributed: Every card that's not guaranteed to be rare, has a big chance Z to be Common, a small chance Y to be Uncommon and a very small chance X to be Rare, with X+Y+Z = 1

My GUESS is this: Z = 0.60 Y = 0.35 X = 0.05

I'm also assuming that EL/UL/TI all have the same chance distributions!!

First, let's split the New Blood & Mega New Blood from the other packs. They have different appoaches anyhow.

NB = 3 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 20 creds

2xNB = 6 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 40 creds

MNB = 7 (new) cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

So, MNB > NB. (">" means "better than"

Now let's compare Elite vs Ultimate vs Titanium.

EL = 7 cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

UL = 12 cards inc. 3 rare min. , for 90 creds

TI = 30 cards inc. 6 rare min. , for 180 creds

Based on what I've seen so far, I'm making the following ASSUMPTION on how the cards in a pack are distributed: Every card that's not guaranteed to be rare, has a big chance Z to be Common, a small chance Y to be Uncommon and a very small chance X to be Rare, with X+Y+Z = 1

My GUESS is this: Z = 0.60 Y = 0.35 X = 0.05

I'm also assuming that EL/UL/TI all have the same chance distributions!!

2/29

So based on those assumptions:

If you're going for Rares, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with X being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Rare):

EL: (1 + 6*X)/40 = 0.025 + 0.15*X =~= 0.0325

UL: (3 + 9*X)/90 = 0.033 + 0.10*X =~= 0.03833

TI: (6 + 24*X)/180 = 0.033 + 0.133*X =~= 0.04

If you're going for Uncommons, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with Y being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Uncommon):

EL: (6*Y)/40 = 0.15*Y =~= 0.045

UL: (9*Y)/90 = 0.10*Y =~= 0.03

TI: (24*Y)180 = 0.133*Y =~= 0.04

If you're going for Rares, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with X being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Rare):

EL: (1 + 6*X)/40 = 0.025 + 0.15*X =~= 0.0325

UL: (3 + 9*X)/90 = 0.033 + 0.10*X =~= 0.03833

TI: (6 + 24*X)/180 = 0.033 + 0.133*X =~= 0.04

If you're going for Uncommons, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with Y being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Uncommon):

EL: (6*Y)/40 = 0.15*Y =~= 0.045

UL: (9*Y)/90 = 0.10*Y =~= 0.03

TI: (24*Y)180 = 0.133*Y =~= 0.04

3/29

I don't understand most of this , but i think titanium is the best among these 3 , am i right ?

4/29

I personally believe it is more likely for, X = 0.10

5/29

Well that still depends on what clans you pick and what you are after. So you're right and wrong at the same time.

6/29

Elite = 7 cards / 1 rare for 40 credits

Ultimate = 12 cards / 3 rare for 90 credits

Titanium = 30 cards / 6 rare for 180 credits

With 360 credits you have:

Elite = 63 cards with 9 rare

Ultimate = 48 cards with 12 rare

Titanium = 60 cards with 12 rare

Titanium is obvious the best. I think Ultimate is the worst of them

Ultimate = 12 cards / 3 rare for 90 credits

Titanium = 30 cards / 6 rare for 180 credits

With 360 credits you have:

Elite = 63 cards with 9 rare

Ultimate = 48 cards with 12 rare

Titanium = 60 cards with 12 rare

Titanium is obvious the best. I think Ultimate is the worst of them

7/29

That was an impressively quick analysis. Could be useful too

So does this mean if you're after uncommons elite are the best?

So does this mean if you're after uncommons elite are the best?

8/29

9/29

10/29

Conclusion: Titanium > Ultimate.

For Uncommons, Elite is just a bit better than Titanium. 12.5% more Uncommons to be exact.

For Rares, Titanium is better than Elite. Assuming X is small enough.

For Uncommons, Elite is just a bit better than Titanium. 12.5% more Uncommons to be exact.

For Rares, Titanium is better than Elite. Assuming X is small enough.

Urban Rivals | Free Online Manga Trading Card Game | TCG | MMO

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