offline Tranquil_Suit Titan  
Monday 30/12/2013, 16:54

I'll do a bit of preliminary anlysis on the cost-effectiveness of the different .


First, let's split the New Blood & Mega New Blood from the other packs. They have different appoaches anyhow.


NB = 3 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 20 creds
2xNB = 6 (new) cards inc. 0 rare min. , for 40 creds
MNB = 7 (new) cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds

So, MNB > NB. (">" means "better than"smiley



Now let's compare Elite vs Ultimate vs Titanium.

EL = 7 cards inc. 1 rare min. , for 40 creds
UL = 12 cards inc. 3 rare min. , for 90 creds
TI = 30 cards inc. 6 rare min. , for 180 creds


Based on what I've seen so far, I'm making the following ASSUMPTION on how the cards in a pack are distributed: Every card that's not guaranteed to be rare, has a big chance Z to be Common, a small chance Y to be Uncommon and a very small chance X to be Rare, with X+Y+Z = 1

My GUESS is this: Z = 0.60 Y = 0.35 X = 0.05


I'm also assuming that EL/UL/TI all have the same chance distributions!!

offline Tranquil_Suit Titan  
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:01

So based on those assumptions:


If you're going for Rares, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with X being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Rare):

EL: (1 + 6*X)/40 = 0.025 + 0.15*X =~= 0.0325
UL: (3 + 9*X)/90 = 0.033 + 0.10*X =~= 0.03833
TI: (6 + 24*X)/180 = 0.033 + 0.133*X =~= 0.04




If you're going for Uncommons, this is how many you averagely get per credit (with Y being the chance a (not guaranteed to be Rare) card in a pack is going to be Uncommon):

EL: (6*Y)/40 = 0.15*Y =~= 0.045
UL: (9*Y)/90 = 0.10*Y =~= 0.03
TI: (24*Y)180 = 0.133*Y =~= 0.04

offline HHM_Dota2 Titan Hip Hop Messiahz
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:01

I don't understand most of this , but i think titanium is the best among these 3 , am i right ?

offline 0_Maverick Guru TRiNiTY
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:04

I personally believe it is more likely for, X = 0.10

available Thoazol Moderator Wise Men Distracted
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:04

Well that still depends on what clans you pick and what you are after. So you're right and wrong at the same time.

offline DUC-San Titan  
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:06

Elite = 7 cards / 1 rare for 40 credits
Ultimate = 12 cards / 3 rare for 90 credits
Titanium = 30 cards / 6 rare for 180 credits

With 360 credits you have:
Elite = 63 cards with 9 rare
Ultimate = 48 cards with 12 rare
Titanium = 60 cards with 12 rare

Titanium is obvious the best. I think Ultimate is the worst of them

offline Spikey 13 Guru Join in
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:10

That was an impressively quick analysis. Could be useful too smiley
So does this mean if you're after uncommons elite are the best?

offline James Chape Titan Masters of Battle
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:10

I always though the old new blood pack and the mega new blood pack were the worst ones,meanwhile Ultimate seems to be the most accessible for me

offline DUC-San Titan  
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:14

Yes
They are good for clans with expensive uncommons like Uppers (Zatman/Dorian/Kazayan) PC (Yayoi/Charlie/Louise) and Roots (Shakra/Ratanah/Arno) Junkz (Gil/Peeler/Haze) Freaks (Crassus/Akendram/Bogdan)

offline Tranquil_Suit Titan  
Monday 30/12/2013, 17:21

Conclusion: Titanium > Ultimate.

For Uncommons, Elite is just a bit better than Titanium. 12.5% more Uncommons to be exact.

For Rares, Titanium is better than Elite. Assuming X is small enough.

Answer to this subject

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