40enTue, 15 May 2012 21:40:54 GMTTue, 15 May 2012 21:40:54 GMTTue, 15 May 2012 01:05:28 GMT
]]>Mon, 14 May 2012 23:54:46 GMTSat, 12 May 2012 01:53:57 GMT

Use random.org!!!!]]>Fri, 11 May 2012 19:53:43 GMTFri, 11 May 2012 11:55:08 GMThttp://www.urban-rivals.com/standard/

In the tournaments section it's written ]]>Fri, 11 May 2012 11:06:03 GMT]]>Thu, 10 May 2012 13:52:51 GMTThu, 10 May 2012 09:33:41 GMT
few questions that I am wondering about are concerning the method:

- When the prices have been distributed, you see the best rank of the winner displayed, right? does this mean everyone that ends up in the top 150 (regardless of the amount of times a day) only participates with his best position? or gets one extra chance for every time he hits top 150? (if the latter is true, the prices won do not necessarily have to be won on the displayed rank let's say position 33 if that is simply the best rank the winner of the draw, he could had won it on a worse rank in a other dt that day).

- if the latter is true about the previous question, so ending up in top 150 a day multiple times does give you more "lottery ticket" can a player that plays 10 dts a day win multiple prices? or are his tickets withdrawn when he wins the first price?
I understand that by ending multiple times in top 150 he always enlarges his chances to win a price regardless by which of the anwsers of the last question is correct, but their is a huge difference in the amount of chance you gain by playing more dt's across the both explanations (option 1; more times in top 150 -> more tickets -> more chance | option 2: more times in top 150 -> only 149 other players that have a chance in the price draw -> very slight increase of chance of winning)]]>Tue, 08 May 2012 23:10:46 GMTTue, 01 May 2012 15:41:13 GMTELO draws with a fine comb like SPSS (I might do that if I can find the time), he might find something interesting.
DT draws are easier to track because it is new and I have all the draw results till now at hand; that's why I analysed this instead of ELO.]]>Tue, 01 May 2012 13:06:35 GMTELO prices aswell?
Or is it only in DT?]]>Tue, 01 May 2012 10:39:14 GMTScarlett Cr going to the 33+6th place and Dwain Cr to the 94+5th place. Check the result well before posting just for posting's sake.]]>Mon, 30 Apr 2012 22:24:01 GMTDJ Korr Cr winner was in 8th place, while 120th place got Noodile Cr...

and, from experience, aiming for a particular spot in DT can be difficult, especially now with shorter timers and more players XD

so what would be the odds of winning a Cr anyway? around 1/360, or probably slightly better, considering the people who rank in more than one DT per day... so, if you play in tourney every day for a year, on average you should win at least one Cr!

in any case, i'm not sure it's really worth it to sacrifice the extra prize money every time, when there's really no guarantee of winning a Cr anyway. and it's still random enough that top 25ers or even top 10s will get the grand prize, a lot of the time. that being said, it's interesting to see how this will develop...]]>Mon, 30 Apr 2012 14:04:22 GMT]]>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 14:29:53 GMT]]>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 09:00:41 GMT The random number generating algorithm, if not re-programmed on a periodic basis, will generate random numbers clustered around predictable numbers.]]>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 03:16:01 GMTThu, 26 Apr 2012 14:52:42 GMT]]>Thu, 26 Apr 2012 13:16:54 GMT The DT lottery algorithm programmed into the UR mainframe is becoming a bit predictable. If you draw a frequency distribution curve with the already awarded prices, we can find most of them huddled around two magic numbers.
I have found two. 33 and 94. Meaning if you are placed around these two places in DT, you stand a better chances of winning a prize in DT, the former being better (less standard deviation in the case of latter).
Any thoughts on this?]]>