Grab your harpoon and diving suit and help Nanook Rb catch the uncatchable swerflin that’s been terrorizing Clint City’s beaches! What? You don't know what a swerflin is? Well neither does Nanook.
In fact she’s never seen one but her cousin swears it exists, so hurry up!
The event starts at 2PM and ends on Thursday at 8PM.
Lol kaiser calm down
...but I think you are nutz if you think you get even 30k on average from an elite. If you really do get that much then it will take you 4-5 wins to start making money. In that case keep buying packs.
I suspect 1 credit is a lot closer to 450 clintz (aka 3 wins = break even)
Sometimes, elite pack is worth buying than NB when NB has full of crap. I remember I bought elite packs sometimes and mostly each packs give me round 30k+ and if I get lucky, 60k+ .... The best I drew from elite is Noctezuma, Zatman xD
But nowadays, I buy ultimate .... Mostly give me around 60k+ to 100k+. NB hates me ... Mostly give me the lowest rare in the pool.
Solely for the sake of proving Thoazol right (so he knows not everyone thinks he's crazy):
Kaiser said "4/5 times less then 6000 and im being generous"
NB cards worth over 6k:
C - Eleanore
U - Phoebe, Roxie, Dr Alma, Mandrak, (Mina will still easily net 6k total),
R - Matriochka, Chel, Koshiro, ZRobbie, Mildred, Byron, Rahi Sledon, Josephine, Dustyn, Bengal, Pearl, Fischer, Beck - Nena, Buddy, and Magnolia
1/17 Commons, or ~6%
~4/18 Uncommons, or ~22%
15/15 Rares, or 100%
4 Pack types, shown to be equally likely:
100% chance for C
75% chance for U
50% chance for R
50% of the time you have a 100% chance to get over 6k (Rares). So we're at 0% chance to not get it here.
25% of the time you get UUC
14/18 * 13/17 = .59477, or about a 60% chance to not get a U that's worth over 6k
But, .59477 * 16/17 = .55978, or about a 56% chance overall, after looking at commons, too.
25% is UCC
16/17 * 15/16 * 14/18 = .68627, or about 69% chance to not get a card over 6k.
.5(0) + .25(.5597 + .25(.68627) = .311525, or just over 31% of the time you will not get over 6k from a pack.
Your original estimate of "4/5" or 80% was 49% off. You simply had some REALLY bad luck, all in a row. I find that true in some of my pack pulls, too. To say you won't get over 6k on 80% of your pulls is just wrong.
Do the math, kids.